Colts 41 Saints 10

What a shellacking. I went to bed at halftime (no WAY I'm sitting through Olberman) when it was 10-10. Then the Colts O pounded the Saints. The more amazing thing was that the Colts D held the Saints to no offensive touchdowns. That's quite remarkable, considering the Saints were 5th in the NFL in offensive DVOA last year and the Colts were 27th in defensive DVOA.

KUBIAK predicted a decline for the Saints this year, but Aaron Shatz wrote it off as the system's 2-year projection being screwed up by the hurricane-wracked season in 2005. My thought is that the system is more right than wrong, and we (as fans) should take its results seriously.

I espcially am thinking about Tampa Bay's positive projection this year. The Bucs have a lot of young talent that may mature this year, and we shouldn't dismiss that just because the mainstream sports media goes by last year's record to predict this year's. These variables that KUBIAK looks at are exactly the kinds of things the MSSM misses.